Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Week 8 NFL Picks

Last week I came up with the not-so-brilliant idea of rating games based on the star system...5 stars for a virtual lock down to 2-stars for the tossup games...it didn't go as I expected:

5-star plays: 3-0
4-star plays: 1-2
3-star plays: 3-0
2-star plays: 3-1

Now I'm not going to argue with the 10-3 record...but to go 1-2 in 4-star plays is unacceptable...therefore this week I'll provide my predicted score as well as a small writeup as to what I think will happen...here we go...

Week 8 NFL Picks

Last Week: 10-3
Season Record: 69-34 (67%)
HOME TEAMS IN CAPS

St. Louis Rams 24, DETROIT LIONS 23
-My upset special this week...both teams are borderline horrendous and if they win, this might be the Rams only conquest in '09. Look for a late Marc Bulger TD pass to break the Lions hopes for win #2.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 27, New York Giants 23
-Neither team wants three losses this early in the game...considering the Eagles defense has been more impressive of late, I'll take the home team here.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 31, San Francisco 49ers 13
-Before the season I predicted the Colts as one of my 2009 disappointments...can I get a re-do? Peyton Manning throws 3 TD passes in this rout over the suddenly fading 49ers.

BALTIMORE RAVENS 23, Denver Broncos 13
-Baltimore lost three in a row going into their bye week, while Denver can't seem to do anything wrong so far this year. Fortunes change this Sunday...the Broncos will be lucky to win 5 of their last 10 games though they should still be a virtual playoff lock.

Houston Texans 24, BUFFALO BILLS 14
-After pulling two impressive upsets on the road the past two weeks under the guidance of Harvard-grad Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback, the Bills run ends thanks to the streaking Texans and their red-hot gunslinger Matt Schaub.

CHICAGO BEARS 30, Cleveland Browns 10
-I agree with what a prominent Cleveland sportswriter said this week...the Browns should fire their entire coaching staff and start over. Hey...I hear LeBron James is a free agent in 2010!

DALLAS COWBOYS 27, Seattle Seahawks 20
-Matt Hasselbeck will lead his Seahawks on a furious 2nd half comeback that will come up a touchdown short.

NEW YORK JETS 26, Miami Dolphins 17
-After getting run over by the Dolphins "Wildcat" offense in Week 5, look for the Jets to make serious adjustments. After blowing a three touchdown lead last week, I don't see how the Dolphins can rebound this Sunday. The Jets win comfortably.

Jacksonville Jaguars 26, TENNESSEE TITANS 21
-The Jaguars are the NFL's latest bi-polar squad...one week they'll look great...the next week they'll get shutout. Tennessee's miserable 2009 continues...

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 30, Oakland Raiders 9
-Am I giving the Raiders offense too much credit but predicting three field goals?

ARIZONA CARDINALS 27, Carolina Panthers 20
-This one has Cardinals letdown and Panthers revenge written all over it...but I just can't predict the upset. The Cardinals win on a late score from Kurt Warner to Larry Fitzgerald.

GREEN BAY PACKERS 27, Minnesota Vikings 24
-As a lifelong Packers fan, I can't tell you how disappointed I'll be to watch Brett Favre comeback to Lambeau Field in a Vikings uniform. My favorite player of all-time is nothing more than a traitor. Years from now I'll forget about it, but for now I'm hoping the Packers exact some revenge. In a classic, Green Bay wins on a last second Mason Crosby field goal.

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 30, Atlanta Falcons 24
-After their stunning comeback from three touchdowns down late in the 2nd quarter last week, is it wrong to call the Saints the best team in the NFC? Look for Drew Brees and Matt Ryan to put up some monster passing yardage totals in an entertaining Saints win.

Back Friday with the college picks...


PS - World Series Prediction: Phillies over the Yankees in 6...MVP: Cliff Lee

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