Monday, November 30, 2009
Monday Musings - Young/Leinart II, ASU/UofA, the Heisman Trophy, and More!
-The Cardinals/Titans game yesterday was epic...Vince Young vs. Matt Leinart Part II, arguably the best RB in the NFL (Chris Johnson) against arguably the best WR in the NFL (Larry Fitzgerald)...and boy did it live up to the billing!
-Leinart looked very sharp in the second half and proved that he can be a solid NFL quarterback. The Cardinals would be making a serious mistake if they gave up on him in the next two years...which I really don't believe they will do.
-As I mentioned above, I believe Chris Johnson has passed Adrian Peterson as the NFL's premier running back. He's much faster than AP...and possesses the game breaking component Peterson has rarely shown this year. How many 80+ yard touchdowns does Johnson have this year? At least 4 or 5 off the top of my head...
-What a gutsy performance by Vince Young to take the Titans 99 yards in the final three minutes for the win...apparently he's the real deal now...5-0 as a starter this season.
-Maybe the NFC West isn't over just yet...the Cardinals lead the 49ers by 2 and host the 10-1 Vikings next week while the 49ers face the Seahawks in Seattle. With a San Fran win and AZ loss, the division lead could come down to a Week 14 Monday night meeting between the two teams. So much for being too comfortable, right Cardinals fans?
-Speaking of uncomfortable, that was how I felt during Saturday's UofA-ASU game. The 'Cats dominated the 1st half despite looking poor on offense. But ASU made a heck of a rally in the 4th quarter and frankly should've won the game if it weren't for Kyle Williams' awful mistake on a fair catch punt.
-I hated the Wildcats' play-calling throughout the game...they looked quite intimidated of ASU's very solid defense. The offense was by far the worst I've seen all season...including the Iowa game.
-Good for Danny Sullivan to exact a bit of redemption in his final collegiate game...and as for Kyle Williams, the hero and goat of Saturday's game...that's a shame. What else can I say as a UofA fan?
-I predict the 'Cats will end up in San Diego for their bowl game with either a win or loss at USC this weekend...if they lose, they will face Utah in the Poinsettia Bowl...with a win I believe the Holiday Bowl will select them to likely face Nebraska (assuming they lose to Texas in the Big XII Championship).
-I'm not sure my heart can take many more of these close UofA games...it seems like this is an every week occurrence.
-I define the Heisman Trophy as the best player in college football...a player who is not just a "product of the system", but if you put them on a subpar team, they would clearly make that team better. Therefore my Heisman ballot as of now: 1. Colt McCoy, 2. Toby Gerhart, 3. Jimmy Clausen. I reserve the right to change this after this weekend's games however...I would also include Jeremiah Masoli, Mark Ingram, Tim Tebow, and Case Keenum on my (fairly) short list.
-What a great upcoming weekend of college football...Oregon-Oregon St., Florida-Alabama, Cincinnati-Pitt, Clemson-Georgia Tech, Texas-Nebraska...all with highly significant BCS bowl meaning...it doesn't get any better than that (and I didn't even include UofA and USC)!
-I had a friend tell me this weekend that he didn't think the Suns would win more than 50 games...did he not realize that they're currently 14-3? To only win 49 games, Phoenix would have to go 35-30 the rest of the way...and unless Steve Nash or Amare Stoudemire misses a significant amount of time, they will play much better than that. Just guessing now...I'll say 54-28.
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Football Picks Galore - NFL Week 12 and College Week 13
Green Bay Packers 31, DETROIT LIONS 14
-Great win for Detroit over Cleveland on Sunday...but the momentum will not carry over. Green Bay likely needs to win 4 of 6 to make the playoffs.
DALLAS COWBOYS 27, Oakland Raiders 10
-The Cowboys offense gets back on track after a horrific two weeks with a combined 14 points.
New York Giants 23, DENVER BRONCOS 16
-Stick a fork in the Broncos playoff hopes...after this one, they're about cooked.
ATLANTA FALCONS 30, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13
-Look for another big day from Falcons backup RB Jason Snelling.
Miami Dolphins 24, BUFFALO BILLS 20
-I don't think the Bills will have any answers for the 'Phins "Wildcat" formation.
CINCINNATI BENGALS 27, Cleveland Browns 7
-The Bengals owe the schedule-maker a favor...they faced the Raiders last week, the Browns this week, and the Lions next week. On paper, does it get much easier than that?...minus the fluke loss last week though.
Seattle Seahawks 27, ST. LOUIS RAMS 14
-Seattle shutout St. Louis earlier in the season...I don't see how the Rams are only 3 point underdogs in this spot.
Carolina Panthers 24, NEW YORK JETS 23
-Upset Special #1 - the Jets are in a free fall...Carolina steals this one late similar to the way Jacksonville beat the Jets two weeks ago.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 27, Washington Redskins 10
-The Redskins have hung tough the last two weeks...but their mojo won't be the same this Sunday against a hungry Eagles team.
HOUSTON TEXANS 27, Indianapolis Colts 24
-Upset Special #2 - The Colts are due to lose at some point...and have played four consecutive super close games. Look for their undefeated dreams to end on Sunday afternoon in Houston.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 24, Kansas City Chiefs 14
-The Chiefs are winners of two in a row and will play the Chargers tougher than expected.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 17
-Who knows which Jaguars team will show up this week on the road?
TENNESSEE TITANS 26, Arizona Cardinals 21
-The Titans are a top 10 team in the NFL since Vince Young took over...arguably top 5. Having a top 3 running back in Chris Johnson doesn't hurt the cause either.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 30, Chicago Bears 20
-Adrian Peterson owns the Bears...much to the chagrin of my fantasy football good fortune (I face him in two of my three leagues this weekend).
BALTIMORE RAVENS 23, Pittsburgh Steelers 20
-The Ravens owe the Steelers one after going 0-3 against them last season.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 34, New England Patriots 30
-This one will be a blast to watch...Quarterbacks Drew Brees and Tom Brady will put on quite the aerial show...I wouldn't be surprised at all if New England wins here. Could be a preview of the Super Bowl.
-The Sun Devils season is a wash...and UofA makes their season successful with a win. Look for my alma mater to prevail in a much too close game. I'm still concerned how the Wildcats will respond after last week's heartbreaker though.
WASHINGTON HUSKIES 34, Washington St. Cougars 7
-A revenge game based on last year's surprising Cougars upset.
USC TROJANS 30, UCLA Bruins 17
-The Trojans will likely head to the Holiday Bowl in San Diego if they win out...which is not the Rose Bowl, but not a bad destination either.
STANFORD CARDINAL 38, Notre Dame Fighting Irish 30
-Don't expect Charlie Weis to be coaching in Notre Dame's bowl game...just a hunch.
Alabama Crimson Tide 27, AUBURN TIGERS 20
-The Crimson Tide will be in for a battle here until a late TD saves the day to beat their hated rival.
Pittsburgh Panthers 26, WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS 23
-Like Alabama above, the Panthers score a late TD to beat a good Mountaineers team on the road.
BOISE ST. BRONCOS 41, Nevada Wolfpack 30
-Might be the most entertaining game of the weekend; both teams can score some major points. But Boise St. will remain unbeaten during the regular season for the second straight year.
OKLAHOMA SOONERS 27, Oklahoma St. Cowboys 23
-The Sooners will derail their rivals' BCS bowl hopes at Senior Day in Norman.
FLORIDA GATORS 38, Florida St. Seminoles 24
-Tim Tebow's Senior Day will be quite the site in Gainesville...it doesn't look like he'll get his second Heisman Trophy this year though.
UPSET SPECIAL: SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS 24, Clemson Tigers 19
-Steve Spurrier doesn't let his team lose four in a row to end the season. Hopefully I'll hit this one similar to last week's SEC upset pick...Kentucky as a 9 point underdog at Georgia.
Have a safe and happy Thanksgiving everyone!
Monday, November 23, 2009
Monday Musings - Oregon/Arizona fallout, Throwing Projectiles, the Cardinals' road dominance, and More!
1. The Cubs 2003 debacle (Games 6 & 7 against the Marlins)
2. The 2004 Cubs choking away a 2 game division lead in the last week of the season
3. Saturday night's UofA loss to Oregon
4. The 2006 UofA loss to ASU keeping the Wildcats out of a bowl game
5. The Packers loss to the Giants in January 2008's NFC Championship Game
-I'll say this about Saturday night's Oregon-Arizona game...it was the greatest regular season sporting event I have ever witnessed in person, yet the most disappointing.
-I would've gone for two if I were UofA Coach Mike Stoops after the Wildcats scored in the first overtime...to let the game continue after Oregon could not be stopped on offense was disappointing.
-I love the way the Wildcats D played from the mid-1st quarter to the mid-4th. They were aggressive and ruthless...and they made their school proud either way.
-The University of Arizona represented itself very well until about three minutes to go in the game...when the Zona Zoo decided to prematurely rush the sidelines thinking the game was almost in hand. Unfortunately that's the result of a University whose fans don't know what it's like to win in football.
-Those fans throwing projectiles on to the field from the southwest section of Arizona Stadium on Saturday night are despicable. I hope you scum bags never come back to another UofA sporting event. Your actions were beyond reprehensible...and I hope the guy who hit the poor Oregon cheerleader in the head with a water bottle is caught and sees jail time for assault.
-On a happier note, attending College Gameday was quite the experience...the atmosphere was electric and I'm glad I made the trip. Unfortunately at time my vision was impaired due to all of the ridiculous signs people held up to get their :15 seconds of fame.
-I'm very concerned UofA is in the emotional cellar after back-to-back close losses...and I'm not quite sure how they will group this week against a poor, yet hungry ASU team.
-Bye bye Charlie Weis...hope your Notre Dame experience has been memorable...good luck in your next venture as an NFL offensive coordinator.
-The University of Michigan should be saying bye bye to Rich Rodriguez after a 4-0 start turned into a 5-7 disaster. Unfortunately for the Wolverines fan base, the University is reluctant to pay the huge buyout to fix the mistake.
-Unless it gets a matchup of undefeated teams, aka Cincinnati and TCU, I don't see the Fiesta Bowl being all that appealing this year. Boise St. would be interesting, but they'll never be able to top their 2007 experience.
-The Cardinals will once again be a tough out in the playoffs this season - they are solid on both sides of the ball and have become an excellent road team (5-0). I am concerned, however, that Matt Leinart wasn't able to lead the team to any points against a poor Rams defense in a little over two quarters of work.
-I would be surprised if the Broncos win more than 2 of their final 6 games...talk about a team that has gone into a tailspin.
-How's that Jay Cutler deal working out for you now, Chicago?
-Would anyone have bet that a matchup between one win teams, Detroit and Cleveland would be by far the most exciting game of Week 11 in the NFL? What a crazy finish!
-The Suns are 11-3 and tied for the best record in the NBA...another example of the phrase, "That's why they play the games..."
FINAL THOUGHT - No matter how a team loses a game, there is no excuse for the fans to not be graceful and respect both the outcome of the game and the winning team. University of Arizona fans put on a classless performance that will not soon be forgotten. I don't care whether Oregon players were taunting them or not, there is absolutely no justification for throwing anything, much less full water bottles, Jack Daniels bottles, and batteries at the Oregon personnel as they were exiting the field. When Arizona hosts it's first home game of the 2010 season next September, let's hope new security procedures are implemented to curb this ruthless behavior.
Friday, November 20, 2009
Week 12 College Football Pickoff
-History lesson: November 15th, 2007 - Oregon is ranked #2...undefeated coming into Arizona Stadium for a Thursday night ESPN game...Arizona is 4-6. The Ducks are led by Heisman candidate Dennis Dixon, who had injured his knee the week before in a win over Arizona State. Oregon jumps out to an 8-0 lead and is ready to go in again before Dixon throws an interception in the end zone. Later he re-injures his knee and is done for the season. Arizona goes on to win 34-24 in a major upset.
Fast forward to tomorrow...the biggest football game for Arizona in at least a decade: ESPN's College Gameday is in Tucson - the Ducks are ranked 11th, coming off a home win against ASU...and are coming into Arizona Stadium for a nationally televised game by ABC (branded as ESPN on ABC). Look for the "Red Out" at the stadium to affect the Ducks, already a subpar road team. Nick Foles throws for 350+ yards and Nic Grigsby nears 100 on the ground...but the game is decided on a UofA touchdown with just under five minutes to play. The Ducks will drive towards the game winner only to fall short. Arizona's Rose Bowl dreams will live for another week.
Oregon St. Beavers 45, WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS 10
-Nice scheduling Oregon St...give yourselves a nice tune-up game before the Civil War against Oregon on December 3rd. The Beavers can pretty much name the score here.
STANFORD CARDINAL 34, Cal Golden Bears 20
-Stanford needs a win over Cal, a UofA win over Oregon, a UofA loss to ASU or USC, and an Oregon win over Oregon St. to be in the Rose Bowl...not all that unlikely to be honest. Toby Gerhart is a legitimate Heisman candidate...and will have a chance to make a statement on national TV next Saturday night against Notre Dame.
UCLA BRUINS 24, Arizona State Sun Devils 17
-I think ASU puts up a very good fight against a Bruins team that seems to have turned the corner...but a late Bruins TD seals the Devils postseason fate...a second straight year sitting at home in December/January.
-The best rivalry in all of sports...but it's unfortunate there is no added significance to the game this year. Ohio State will struggle in the 1st half before their defense makes a couple big plays in the second half to get the win.
OLE MISS REBELS 30, LSU Tigers 20
-The Rebs looked sharp last week while pasting Tennessee...look for them to repeat their Cotton Bowl appearance of a year ago after this win and a victory in the Egg Bowl over Mississippi St.
TEXAS LONGHORNS 41, Kansas Jayhawks 24
-It's sad when I'm picking this game as part of my weekly picks...this is probably the worst college football weekend in years in terms of intriguing matchups. The Longhorns are favored by nearly four touchdowns over a Kansas team who has lost 5 in a row and is in turmoil. Look for the Jayhawks to cover the spread, but not derail Texas' championship hopes.
Kentucky Wildcats 24, GEORGIA BULLDOGS 23
-My upset special of the week...Georgia has looked sluggish all season, while Kentucky might be turning the corner. Let's hope this one doesn't go as badly as my Duke pick last Saturday.
Have a great weekend everyone...and GO CATS!
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Week 11 NFL Picks
-This one should be much more entertaining than last Thursday's snoozefest between the 49ers and Bears. Look for Panthers QB Jake Delhomme to have lead a solid aerial attack in this Carolina victory.
DALLAS COWBOYS 31, Washington Redskins 16
-Look for Dallas to take out some frustration on their biggest rivals. Tony Romo should have an easy 300+ yard passing day.
DETROIT LIONS 20, Cleveland Browns 9
-If anyone watches this game for reasons other than fantasy football or gambling reasons, I would be shocked.
GREEN BAY PACKERS 24, San Francisco 49ers 13
-The Packers look to be in a winnable stretch right now and are in the thick of the NFC playoff race. The 49ers are likely a year away.
Pittsburgh Steelers 27, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 7
-Rashard Mendenhall should tear apart a weak Chiefs front 7 on the ground.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 30, Seattle Seahawks 14
-Good luck stopping Adrian Peterson, Seattle!
NEW YORK GIANTS 24, Atlanta Falcons 20
-This is a must win for both teams, but I'll take the Giants considering they're at home and need to break the four game losing streak. I also don't like the fact that Atlanta is going to be without star runner Michael Turner (high ankle sprain).
New Orleans Saints 31, TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 20
-The Bucs keep this one interesting similar to the way the Rams did last week vs. New Orleans, but Drew Brees will be too much for the Bucs to stop late.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 27, Buffalo Bills 14
-I don't see how the league's worst rush defense (Buffalo) shuts down the dynamic Maurice Jones-Drew. Not gonna happen.
Indianapolis Colts 27, BALTIMORE RAVENS 24
-Former longtime Ravens kicker Matt Stover wins this one for Indy as time expires...won't that be sweet revenge? Long time Baltimore football supporters (formerly Baltimore Colts fans) will cringe at this result.
Arizona Cardinals 34, ST. LOUIS RAMS 14
-Look for at least one defensive touchdown from AZ in this easy victory.
San Diego Chargers 23, DENVER BRONCOS 17
-And there went the Josh McDaniels for Coach of the Year parade...Denver will lose it's 4th in a row and finally its grasp on the AFC West.
Cincinnati Bengals 23, OAKLAND RAIDERS 9
-Poor Raiders fans...that's all I can say. As for the Bengals, their feel good story continues...and an AFC North title is within reach.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 24, New York Jets 12
-The Jets will keep this surprisingly close, but New England will exact its revenge for a tough Week 2 loss to the Jets.
Philadelphia Eagles 23, CHICAGO BEARS 16
-After this one, the Bears fans will be clamoring for two things: Coach Lovie Smith's job and the Cubs 2010 season to begin.
HOUSTON TEXANS 27, Tennessee Titans 23
-The Titans have been a different team with Vince Young at quarterback, going 3-0 since their bye week. Their magic ends here however...the Texans are bound for the playoffs and this Monday nighter will be great exposure to the entire country.
Be back Friday with the...let's say...surprising...college picks...
Monday, November 16, 2009
Monday Quick Hitters - Bill Belichick, College Gameday in Tucson, TCU, and more!
- I loved Bill Belichick's decision to go for it on 4th and 2 at his own 28 last night with the game on the line...he knew the consequences...but he also knew his offense had dominated the Colts defense all game. It was a tough break...that's all.
- You know that if the Patriots had gotten that 1st down, Belichick would be considered even more of a genius than he is now!
- Obviously the Colts-Patriots classic will go down as the NFL's signature game in 2009.
- I think it's safe to say the Denver Broncos are in a nose dive...just as I predicted would happen before they played the Patriots. Losing to the Redskins is inexcusable.
- As a Packers fan, I was thrilled to see the defense rise to the occasion and shut down a high powered Cowboys offense. Don't look now...but with upcoming games against San Francisco, Detroit, and Baltimore...an 8-4 record certainly looks possible despite Green Bay's horrific offensive line.
- I think it's safe to say that 3 of the 4 divisions in the NFC are decided...the North (Minnesota), South (New Orleans), and West (Arizona).
- On to college...and oh how disappointed I am in my Wildcats. Come on Nick Foles...you've played great all season...but you can't throw two forward passes in the same sequence!
- Not a very good gameplan drawn up by UofA offensive coordinator Sonny Dykes.
- Still, with the lack of decent college games this week, College Gameday is coming to Tucson...I can't tell you how excited I am...and to boot, we'll get to hear Brent Musberger say, "YOU ARE LOOKING LIVE AT ARIZONA STADIUM..." - all I need is a Rose Bowl appearance and my year would be complete.
- UofA will beat Oregon...mark it down. Hopefully that's not in the same line of thinking as my Duke over Georgia Tech pick last week...awful.
- TCU belongs in the National Championship Game...there's no question about it...what more do they need to prove? They've played a tougher schedule than Texas and completely dominated...and while I have no problems with Texas, I really hope they lose to Kansas, A&M, or Nebraska so TCU gets its chance. (For more, see my final thought below...)
- Unless they play Oregon, look for Ohio State to finally beat a ranked team (outside the Big 10) in the Rose Bowl...the Ducks would give them some major problems though.
- Though they are young and mostly unproven, look for Sean Miller's Wildcats to make their 26th consecutive NCAA Tournament.
- The Suns are 9-2 and have the best record in the league...are you kidding me? Alvin Gentry = early favorite for Coach of the Year.
FINAL THOUGHT - I wish a good majority of college football voters would consider teams more on their season resume than their school's reputation. TCU has statistically been much more impressive than Texas...including strength of schedule, yet will never surpass the Longhorns due to reputation alone. I look forward to the day when more objective voters are given the change to decide who plays for the coveted National Championship.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Week 11 College Football Pickoff
Last week 4-4...here we go:
(HOME TEAMS IN CAPS)
Arizona Wildcats 34, CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS 27
-The strange betting line movement on this game has made me a bit nervous…it started out UofA -2 on the road and now favors the home Golden Bears by 3. Nonetheless without
-Will the Ducks get caught looking ahead to UofA or will they come out with a vengeance after a horrible loss at Stanford? I’ll take the latter…
-Remember when the Huskies were ranked among the Top 25 after they beat USC in September? Look for
-The Bruins are mediocre…the Cougars are beyond bad…easy pick even though UCLA is the road team.
-A Stanford upset is the trendy pick…but USC will be much more awake than they were last week against ASU. Stanford’s Rose Bowl hopes are out the window after this Saturday.
Notable Games Around the Country
-Without QB Ricky Stanzi, the Hawkeyes’ offense is a shell of its former self. Look for another dominating defensive effort from OSU.
-The Gators will not cover the 17 point spread as a road favorite against the Ole’ Ball Coach.
TCU HORNED FROGS 28,
-Does TCU deserve a shot in the National Title game if
-Closer than the experts think…but the Panthers hang on as they prepare for their final two huge games of the year…
ERIC’S UPSET SPECIAL
DUKE BLUE DEVILS 26, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 24
-The Jackets have been playing with fire the last several games…a slip-up is to be expected sooner or later…meaning the ACC race will be wide open once again.
Have a good weekend everyone!
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Week 10 NFL Picks
Last Week: 7-6
Season Record: 85-44 (65.9%)
HOME TEAMS IN CAPS
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 24, Chicago Bears 20
-How do the Bears and 49ers bounce back on a short week after both losing at home this past weekend. Considering the 49ers don't have to fly halfway across the country...I'll take them this week.
TENNESSEE TITANS 26, Buffalo Bills 13
-Look out AFC...under Vince Young the Titans are 2-0 and making a push. They should overwhelm an underachieving and banged up Bills defense for a comfortable win.
New Orleans Saints 34, ST. LOUIS RAMS 14
-If the Saints score any less than 4 offensive touchdowns, I would be very surprised.
MIAMI DOLPHINS 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10
-Bucs rookie QB Josh Freeman was very impressive in his first career start vs. Green Bay. Miami should blitz him all day and make his NFL road debut a nightmare.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS 31, Detroit Lions 13
-Brett Favre throws for 2 scores and Adrian Peterson runs for 2 in an easy Vikings victory.
NEW YORK JETS 28, Jacksonville Jaguars 20
-I know the Jags have been poor on the road, but look for them to put up a decent fight with a hungry Jets team who desperately needs a win coming off their bye week.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS 27, Cincinnati Bengals 13
-The Steelers, despite playing on a shortened week due to the Monday nighter they played in Denver, have revenge on their minds for a tough last minute Week 3 loss to the Bengals.
Denver Broncos 20, WASHINGTON REDSKINS 7
-Don't be surprised if Redskins Coach Jim Zorn gets the boot after another miserable performance.
CAROLINA PANTHERS 24, Atlanta Falcons 21
-Carolina's excellent rushing attack against a woeful Falcons rushing defense? I'll take the home Panthers by a field goal as they should rush for well over 200 yards as a unit.
Kansas City Chiefs 21, OAKLAND RAIDERS 10
-Upset Special: Last year Oakland beat Kansas City in KC early in the year and lost at home to the Chiefs later in the season. Look for history to repeat itself this Sunday in the Oakland Coliseum (or whatever they call it now!).
GREEN BAY PACKERS 27, Dallas Cowboys 21
-On the strength of a 2nd half defensive touchdown, Green Bay pulls off the home upset against Wisconsin native Tony Romo and the Cowboys.
ARIZONA CARDINALS 27, Seattle Seahawks 21
-Can the Cardinals actually win a home game comfortably? I'm starting to think the answer is NO.
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 23, Philadelphia Eagles 19
-This could be a letdown game for San Diego...but with the AFC West seemingly back in the play, I don't see the Chargers losing a crucial home game at this juncture.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 34, New England Patriots 28
-Game of the year? If this isn't it...then it should be close. Look for Peyton Manning and Tom Brady to put on an aerial show...but the undefeated Colts simply are clicking better right now.
Baltimore Ravens 23, CLEVELAND BROWNS 13
-I see the Browns scoring a few points to keep this one respectable; the Ravens desperately need a win streak to get their playoff hopes back on track.
Be back Friday with a big weekend of college football picks!
Monday, November 9, 2009
Monday Quick Hitters - Upsets All Around, UofA Rose Bowl Talk, the 6-1 Suns?
- Did you know that underdogs in the Big 10 this weekend went 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight up (only loss was Indiana 31-28 to Wisconsin)? That means all five road teams won...it doesn't get any crazier than that!
- Bye bye Iowa from the BCS Bowls...glad you kept us thinking you were a National Title contender until now...
- Speaking of bye-byes - adios Charlie Weis at Notre Dame...two losses to Navy in your tenure...you don't deserve to keep your coaching job next year.
- How warm is Dennis Erickson's hot seat right now? ASU completely outplayed USC on Saturday and still found a way to lose 14-9. If Erickson loses to UofA and records another losing season, ASU AD Lisa Love might not have a choice but to relieve him from his duties.
- Speaking of UofA, they completely dominated an overmatched Washington St. team from the start...heck, I even left at halftime!
- I'm not dreaming Rose Bowl for the 'Cats just yet...but I do think they will beat Cal this weekend after the Bears lost all of their momentum (and their best player Jahvid Best) against Oregon St.
- Heck, I'm not even thinking up Pac-10 conference championship scenarios just yet...take each week one at a time. But watch out for the OSU Beavers who are on fire right now and very well could beat Oregon on December 3rd.
- Toby Gerhart - Stanford RB = 2009 Pac-10 Conference Player of the Year
- Oregon & USC - which team will show up on a weekly basis? Both looked awful this weekend...though the Trojans beat disappointing ASU.
- Another great road win for the Cardinals in Chicago...I think that game sealed the fate of Bears Coach Lovie Smith.
- The NFC West is over...9-7 should be well enough for the Cards to make the playoffs for a second straight season.
- Ditto the Buccaneers' win over the Packers for Green Bay Coach Mike McCarthy.
- Green Bay has allowed 37 sacks in 8 games...that has to be a record of futility.
- Do the Colts and Saints legitimately have a shot to go undefeated this season? I say no way...but each should be a virtual lock in their conference's championship game?
- Who says parity has gone by the wayside in the NFL? The favorites this weekend went 6-6 straight up, pending Pittsburgh over Denver tonight.
- The Suns look after 7 games like a legitimate second-tier team in the Western Conference (the Lakers comprise the first tier by themselves)...to beat Boston on the road as they did on Friday night...shocking.
- Could the Suns have actually helped themselves by trading away Shaq for nothing?
Thursday, November 5, 2009
College Football Pickoff - Week 10
With that, coming off a 6-3 week (as was Rich)...here are my picks for Week 10:
Pac-10
Arizona
-I think it’s smart picking just about the same score every game for the Cougs…I was one point off last week when they lost to Notre Dame! UofA won’t cover the big 31 point spread as WSU has been slowly improving as the season has gone along. This is Arizona's last "easy" game before a brutal closing schedule (@CAL, OREGON, @ASU, @USC).
-I wouldn’t want to be playing the Trojans this week after they got pounded by
-The Ducks are on a collision course to the Rose Bowl unless
UCLA 24, Washington 16
-Huskies QB Jake Locker might miss this one…and if so, it could be a rout. If not, UCLA still gets it’s first conference win in 2009.
-I really want to pick the upset here…but as a UofA fan, do I really want
Notable Games:
-Can Terrelle Pryor win a big road game in his native state? Maybe when he’s a senior…but not today.
-The Crimson Tide are on a collision course for a defacto playoff game against
-The Huskers offense has been brutal as of late…and I don’t think the defense can hold
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Week 9 NFL Picks
Last Week: 9-4
Season Record: 78-38 (67%)
HOME TEAMS IN CAPS
ATLANTA FALCONS 27, Washington Redskins 16
-Look for the Redskins to undergo a complete overhaul after the season...Atlanta needs the win badly and will cruise to an easy victory at home.
CHICAGO BEARS 26, Arizona Cardinals 23
-The toughest pick of the week for me...this game very well could go either way considering how well Arizona has played on the road this season...but I'll take Jay Cutler at the Bears on a last second field goal.
Baltimore Ravens 21, CINCINNATI BENGALS 17
-The Ravens exact revenge for losing at home to Cincinnati a month ago...this should be an entertaining affair.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 30, Houston Texans 17
-The Texans have been playing well of late, but the Colts are bound to go into the New England game next week undefeated...which they will.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 27, Miami Dolphins 20
-Hopefully the Patriots have learned how to stop the Dolphins' "Wildcat" offense...last year's matchup in Foxboro was a complete embarrassment for the Patriots.
Green Bay Packers 23, TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 6
-The Packers just love beating up on bad teams...Tampa Bay is the NFL's last hope at a winless team in 2009.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 31, Kansas City Chiefs 17
-It might be a better idea for Jacksonville to get the ball to star running back Maurice Jones-Drew sometime before the 2nd quarter. Last week's gameplan against Tennessee was absolutely brutal...don't expect a repeat against a poor Kansas City defense this week.
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 34, Carolina Panthers 24
-It sure is shaping up like Saints-Vikings for the NFC Championship...don't you think? The way the Saints defense is playing so far this season...it's going to be tough for anyone to beat them.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 31, Detroit Lions 13
-Matt Hasselbeck and crew have a field day against a very poor Detroit secondary...unless you're a fan of either team or have fantasy football interests, don't bother watching this one.
NEW YORK GIANTS 27, San Diego Chargers 24
-The Giants have been in a tailspin and need a win here to maintain their playoff aspirations...look for a late Lawrence Tynes field goal to be the difference.
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 24, Tennessee Titans 20
-The battle of top 3 overall draft pick bust QBs (thus far), Vince Young and Alex Smith. For now I'll stick with the 49ers who should have a chance to gain a game on the Cardinals in the NFC West race.
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 30, Dallas Cowboys 20
-The Eagles seem to have the Cowboys' number in Philly...and specifically Tony Romo's number. Look for a rough Sunday night performance from the Cowboys QB.
Pittsburgh Steelers 24, DENVER BRONCOS 23
-Has the Broncos' magic disappeared? Steelers kicker Jeff Reed breaks Denver's heart as the clock runs out in another great Monday night affair.
- BONUS PICK: Give me the Phillies tonight and tomorrow night to stun the Yankees and win their second consecutive World Series!
Monday, November 2, 2009
Monday Quick Hitters - The Cardinals, Favre, ASU, the Suns, the World Series...and more!
- I knew that Cardinals-Panthers game yesterday was a trap...emotional letdown from the big win last week for the Cardinals...plus a revenge game from last year's playoffs for Carolina.
- For the life of me, I don't understand how the Cardinals don't try to get the ball to Larry Fitzgerald more often.
- So much for the #1 ranked run defense in the NFL after Panthers' RBs DeAngelo Williams and Johnathan Stewart shredded the Cards for 250+ yards on the ground.
- What a surprise! Anquan Boldin is likely to miss time once again...he's a great player who simply can't stay healthy for all 16 games.
- What a surreal game at Lambeau Field yesterday...Brett Favre playing AGAINST the Packers.
- I thought Green Bay's gameplan was to not let Favre beat them...whoops!
- Two games: sacks by Green Bay against Minnesota = 0...sacks by Minnesota against Green Bay = 14.
- Favre and Adrian Peterson are a great combo, but the reason the Vikings are much better than the Packers right now is the lines, both offensive and defense...they're just so much better at the point of attack (as evidenced by that stat above).
- If you want to see some of the worst professional tackling of all-time, check out the highlights from yesterday's Titans-Jaguars game.
- I knew St. Louis wouldn't go 0-16. Now Tampa Bay on the other hand...
- Dennis Erickson...welcome to the hot seat. Cal tried to give ASU the game but the Sun Devils seemingly didn't want to take it.
- USC...welcome to...the Holiday Bowl! I'm sure the folks in San Diego will be grateful to have you play there for once...unless the UofA can do something about that.
- Oregon looked so, so good on Saturday night...but they still don't belong in the National Championship race for now after their opening night implosion in Boise.
- College Gameday in Tucson on 11/21 for UofA vs. Oregon?...that would be a dream come true for me!
- After the way he played in Stillwater the other night vs. Oklahoma St., Texas QB Colt McCoy would most certainly have my Heisman vote at this point.
- Houston QB Case Keenum and the great Tim Tebow of Florida would also be invited to my Heisman ceremony.
- How do you like my 41-14 Notre Dame prediction over Washington St. now? Final score: 40-14 Irish. Wish I could say the same about that Central Michigan over Boston College pick...
- The Suns look like a sure-fire playoff time through the first three games of the season...let's see what happens now on this upcoming five game Eastern road trip. 2-3 would be a major success.
- I'm willing to bet that Brad Lidge will not be a member of the Philadelphia Phillies next season...anyone want to take me up on that?
- The Phils will win tonight with ace Cliff Lee on the mound, but I don't see how they can pull out Game 6. If there's a Game 7...I will predict that the Yanks lose.
- Mariano Rivera's cut fastball might be the best pitch of all-time...no one still has any idea to hit it after 15 seasons.