Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Week 13 NFL Picks + Oregon/Oregon St. on Thursday night

So it's crunch time for my three fantasy football teams this week...two are in the playoffs...one needs a win this week and I'm in. If I lose, season over. Talk about pressure!

On to the picks...

Week 13 NFL Picks
HOME TEAMS IN CAPS
Last Week: 12-4
Overall: 121-55 (68.8%...my goal is 70% for the season)

New York Jets 20, BUFFALO BILLS 13 (in Toronto)
-The Jets still have an outside chance at making the playoffs, but they likely will have to win out to do it. I'll take the New Yorkers based on the revenge angle from this season's earlier OT loss.

Philadelphia Eagles 26, ATLANTA FALCONS 17
-Atlanta just has too many problems to overcome without starting QB Matt Ryan and star RB Michael Turner.

CHICAGO BEARS 31, St. Louis Rams 14
-Don't be surprised if Jay Cutler and his offensive company have a very solid game for the Bears this Sunday...St. Louis' defense is awful.

CINCINNATI BENGALS 31, Detroit Lions 10
-I'll predict a two touchdown game from Chad Ocho Cinco...and a defensive TD by the Bengals (no, I don't have either of them on any of my fantasy teams).

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 27, Tennessee Titans 23
-I think it's a mandate now that the Colts must be in danger of losing entering the 4th quarter of every game they play in...but somehow Peyton Manning and company have found a way to stay undefeated.

Denver Broncos 20, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 17
-This is a swing game for the Broncos...if they win here, I would expect them to make the playoffs...if they lose, I would venture to say they're in big trouble.

New England Patriots 27, MIAMI DOLPHINS 24
-The Dolphins loss to the Bills last week pretty much eliminated them from playoff contention with a very difficult schedule remaining...I'd be surprised if they were 100% focused for this one. On the other hand, you have to think Tom Brady will be primed for a big effort off his poor performance at New Orleans on Monday night.

New Orleans Saints 30, WASHINGTON REDSKINS 14
-Speaking of those Saints, they look to have a serious shot at an undefeated regular season after easily taking care of the Patriots. Drew Brees = the NFL's MVP in 2009...maybe a split with Peyton Manning at the worst-case.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS 33, Oakland Raiders 10
-This one could get ugly...very, very ugly. The Steelers are out for vengeance after losing their last two.

CAROLINA PANTHERS 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14
-Carolina actually benefits from QB Jake Delhomme's broken finger...now they have a non-performance-related excuse for not playing him. With the way Delhomme has played this season, things can only get better for Carolina.

Houston Texans 31, JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 28
-I see this one being a shootout like their matchup earlier this season. Look for Houston to exact some revenge for losing a close one on their home turf in Week 3.

San Diego Chargers 27, CLEVELAND BROWNS 7
-How does 1st year Browns coach Eric Mangini keep his job after this season? He's done an absolutely horrible job since taking over.

Dallas Cowboys 28, NEW YORK GIANTS 24
-This will be a very good game that will come down to the wire once again...but the Giants' free fall continues with another late-game loss to a good Dallas team.

San Francisco 49ers 23, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 20
-The 49ers simply need this game more than the Seahawks, who are essentially eliminated from postseason contention. Look for another good performance from 49ers QB Alex Smith in the transformed San Francisco offense.

Minnesota Vikings 31, ARIZONA CARDINALS 24
-Will Kurt Warner play? I'm a lot more skeptical at this point than I was the other day. If he doesn't play, AZ has little chance to beat the 10-1 Vikings. If he does play, look for it to be close, but Minnesota's offense is playing just too well right now.

GREEN BAY PACKERS 23, Baltimore Ravens 16
-A night game in December in Green Bay? It should be in the 20s at gametime with possibly snow flurries. That favors the Packers who should win this before a tough stretch to end the season.

BONUS COLLEGE PICK - OREGON DUCKS 34, Oregon St. Beavers 24
-Oregon's offense won't be stopped with the Rose Bowl on the line in "The Civil War." Oregon QB Jeremiah Masoli uses this as a statement game in order to spearhead his run at the Heisman Trophy next season. This game should be a must watch for any college football fan on a Thursday night.

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